69 correct of 102 played
2026 FIFA World Cup™
Final Archive
We tracked the tournament, so how did we do? This page compares our projected results against the actual tournament outcomes, with the scorecard broken down by stage, group, and overall performance.
45 correct of 72
24 correct of 30
Round view
By stage
The knockout score is higher because every match has a resolved advancer, while the group-stage score includes draws.
Group stage45/72 correct
62.5%Round of 3214/16 correct
87.5%Round of 165/8 correct
62.5%Quarterfinals4/4 correct
100%Semifinals1/2 correct
50.0%Knockout total24/30 correct
80.0%Group view
By group
Group I was perfect, Groups C and J were close behind, and Groups D, G, and H were the roughest patches.
Group A4/6 correct
66.7%Group B4/6 correct
66.7%Group C5/6 correct
83.3%Group D2/6 correct
33.3%Group E3/6 correct
50.0%Group F4/6 correct
66.7%Group G2/6 correct
33.3%Group H2/6 correct
33.3%Group I6/6 correct
100%Group J5/6 correct
83.3%Group K4/6 correct
66.7%Group L4/6 correct
66.7%Overall
Full scorecard
The model was strongest as a winner picker. It went 45 of 52 in non-drawn group games.
Overall69/102 correct
67.6%Group stage45/72 correct
62.5%Knockout to date24/30 correct
80.0%Group winner-only45/52 correct
86.5%